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The Great Metals Short Trap

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Saurabh Garg
Parth Planetary Research, Delhi, India
Corresponding Author: Saurabh Garg, +91-9718327277, moneymaatrix27@gmail.com

When shorts burn, the market runs

(“Jab Shorts Jale, Tab Market Chale”)

ACT 1 — The Setup: “Indicator bole — ruk ja, par market bole — chal ja”

“RSI cheekhe overbought, par price bole — mujhe koi rok nahi sakta.”
“50 DMA seedha khada, jaise hero entry — slow motion, background score heavy.”

This is the phase describing current trend.

Logic dies. Liquidity rules.
And shorts become fuel.

ACT 2 — The Core Truth in One Line

“Jab sabko lagta hai girna chahiye, tabhi market udne ka mood banata hai.”

Because:

  • Majority short → market goes up
  • Majority cautious → market becomes aggressive
  • Majority logical → market becomes emotional

This is Rahu market behaviour.
Unpredictable. Addictive. Extreme.

THE 10 DERIVATIVES — PRICE BEHAVIOUR + EMA/DMA + ASTRO PSYCHOLOGY

I’ll cover: Snapshot Summary (Approx Current Price market)**

Asset Approx Price (INR)
Gold Futures (MCX) ₹1,38,650 / 10 grams
Silver Futures (MCX) ₹2,50,733 / kg
Natural Gas (MCX) ~₹310 / MMBtu
Crude (Global WTI ~ derivative proxy) ~$58 / bbl. ≈ ₹4,800+ (Indicative)
USD/INR ~₹90.11
Reliance Industries ~₹1,497 outline
Hindalco ~₹925.7
Tata Steel ~₹171—181 zone
Adani Enterprises ~₹2,270—₹2,280

1. GOLD — The Silent King

“Na bole, na dikhaye, bas dheere dheere sabko jhukaye.”

Price behaviour:

  • Slow rise
  • Shallow pullbacks
  • Sudden breakout candles

50 DMA psychology:

  • When Gold’s 50 DMA turns up, it rarely bends quickly.
  • Shorts think: “safe haven overdone” → they short → boom squeeze.

Astro link:

  • Sun + Jupiter + Fire/Gold element
  • When Jupiter activates Sun, gold behaves like a guru with ego — calm but unstoppable.

2. SILVER — The Emotional Lover

“Dil bhi yahi, dhadkan bhi yahi — Silver bole, aaj mood romantic hai.”

Price behaviour:

  • Flat for weeks
  • Then sudden vertical run

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Goes flat → then suddenly steep angle.
  • This steep angle = panic buying + short covering together.

Astro link:

  • Moon + Venus + Water element
  • When Moon is disturbed → Silver becomes moody & wild.

3. COPPER — The Engineer Hero

“Main future ka metal hoon, recession se nahi darta.”

Price behaviour:

  • Breaks resistance and never looks back
  • Shorts think: “China slow” → market laughs.

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Once 50 DMA crosses 100 DMA → trend becomes arrogant

Astro link:

  • Mars + Mercury + Earth/Fire mix
  • Mars gives aggression, Mercury gives speed.

4. CRUDE OIL — The Villain with Power

“Main gir bhi jaun, system mujhe utha leta hai.”

Price behaviour:

  • Sharp falls → sudden violent rebounds
  • No respect for indicators

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Often false breakdowns
  • Then gap-up reversals

Astro link:

  • Rahu + Mars
  • Rahu = geopolitics, Mars = fire → explosion behaviour.

5. NATURAL GAS — The Dramebaaz

“Aaj ro raha hoon, kal nachunga.”

Price behaviour:

  • Extreme volatility
  • Designed to destroy retail

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Whipsaws around 50 DMA
  • Then sudden runaway move

Astro link:

  • Rahu + Air element
  • Pure manipulation energy.

6. USDINR — The Kingmaker

“Main hila, toh sab hilega.”

Price behaviour:

  • Slow grind up
  • Sudden spikes

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Once it tilts up, import stocks cry, exporters smile

Astro link:

  • Mercury + Rahu
  • Currency = communication + illusion.

7. RELIANCE — The Emperor

“Main chal pada, toh index ko saath le jaunga.”

Price behaviour:

  • Consolidates → then massive breakout
  • Shorts get trapped because of “valuation logic”

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Clean slope up = institutional buying

Astro link:

  • Sun + Saturn
  • Authority + structure.

8. TATA STEEL — The Warrior

“Mujhe girana mushkil hai, mujhe jhukana namumkin.”

Price behaviour:

  • Violent rallies after dull phases

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Steep rise = short squeeze + FII flow

Astro link:

  • Mars + Earth element

9. HINDALCO — The Silent Killer

“Dikhta simple hoon, par move lethal hota hai.”

Price behaviour:

  • Slow build-up → sudden breakout

50 DMA behaviour:

  • When 50 DMA turns up, it rarely retests

Astro link:

  • Saturn + Venus
  • Discipline + material wealth.

10. ADANI ENTERPRISES — The Rahu Child

“Na logic, na limit — bas move.”

Price behaviour:

  • Vertical
  • Unforgiving
  • Emotion-driven

50 DMA behaviour:

  • Becomes almost irrelevant in frenzy phase

Astro link:

  • Pure Rahu
  • Obsession, ambition, defiance.

THE BIG PSYCHOLOGICAL RHYME

“Short ki soch logic wali,
Market ki chaal magic wali.”

“Indicator bole — overbought,
Market bole — beta, tu under-thought.”

Why Fresh Breakout After Long Pain Creates Mega Rally

Because:

  1. Old shorts are bleeding
  2. New longs are excited
  3. Algorithms are triggered
  4. Options writers are trapped

So: Buying + covering + hedging = rocket fuel

This is why we see:

  • No pullback
  • No respect to resistance
  • No mercy to logic

Astro–Market Law

When these combine:

  • Rahu active
  • Jupiter expanding
  • Mars energizing
  • Saturn delaying exits

Market enters: “No correction, only connection” phase.

This is exactly the phase where:

  • Shorts die
  • Bulls fly
  • Neutrals cry

Final Bollywood-Style Punchline for Our Topic

“Jab short seller bole — ab toh girna hi chahiye,
Tab market bole — picture abhi baaki hai mere dost.”

Our projected timeline (War Conflicts end before Feb 24, 2026) would create a powerful confluence of factors for financial markets:

  1. A massive positive terms-of-trade shock for India (lower import bill).
  2. Acceleration of the global rate-cut cycle, boosting liquidity.
  3. Reinforcement of the US-led industrial shift towards allies like India.
  • Strategic Implication: An investor positioned in domestic cyclical sectors (capex, infra, banking) and thematic engineering/industrial stocks would be ideally placed to benefit from this dual tailwind of peace and industrial policy.
    Commodity Exporters: Companies exporting steel, aluminium, and chemicals might face lower global realizations.
    Certain Agrochemicals/Gold: If peace reduces safe-haven demand, gold prices could soften. Some agrochemical prices might normalize.

The period leading to Feb 2026 would likely see increased volatility and sectoral churn as the market grapples with this changing paradigm. Your astro-numerological target provides a compelling framework to anticipate and structure a portfolio for this major geopolitical and financial pivot.

Published by Parth Planetary by Saurabh Garg — Researcher and Analyst

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